Publications

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AuthorsYearTitleJournalpdfSource
Coblentz, Rosenblatt, Novakin pressThe application of Bayesian hierarchical models to quantify individual diet specializationEcology
Samhouri, Stier, Hennessey, Novak, Halpern & Levinin pressRapid and direct recoveries of predators and prey through synchronized ecosystem managementNature Ecology & Evolution
Hughes et al. (incl. Coblentz, Segui & Novak)in pressLong-term studies contribute disproportionately to ecology and policyBioScience
Koslicki & Novakpre-printExact probabilities for the indeterminacy of complex networks as perceived through press perturbationsarXivlink
Novak, Wolf, Coblentz & Shepardpre-printQuantifying predator dependence in the functional response of generalist predatorsbioRxivlink
Krumhanl, Okamoto, Rassweiler, Novak,...+31 & Byrnes2016Global patterns of kelp forest change over the past half-centuryPNASpdflink
Novak, Yeakel, Noble, Doak, Emmerson, Estes, Jacob, Tinker & Wootton2016Characterizing species interactions to understand press perturbations: What is the community matrixAREESpdflink
Iles & Novak2016Complexity increases predictability in allometrically-constrained food websAmerican Naturalistpdf
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Stier, Samhouri, Novak, Marshall, Ward, Holt & Levin2016Ecosystem context and historical contingency in apex predator recoveriesScience Advancespdflink
Wolf, Novak & Gitelman2015 (pre-print)Bayesian characterization of uncertainty in species interaction strengthsPeerJ PrePrintpdflink
Borelli, Allesina, Amarasekare, Arditi, Chase, Damuth, Holt, Logefet, Novak, Rohr, Rossberg, Spencer, Tran & Ginzburg2015Selection on stability across ecological scales.TREEpdflink
Terry & Novak2015Where does the time go: Mixing and the depth-dependent distribution of fossil ages.Geologypdf
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Novak & Tinker2015Time-scales alter the inferred strength and temporal consistency of intraspecific diet specialization.Oecologiapdf
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Beas-Luna, Novak, Carr, Tinker, Black, Caselle, Hoban, Malone, Iles2014An online database for informing ecological network models: http://kelpforest.ucsc.edu.PLoS ONEpdflink
Novak2013Trophic omnivory across a productivity gradient: intraguild predation theory and the structure and strength of species interactions.ProcBpdf
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Kenner, Estes, Tinker, Bodkin, Cowen, Harrold, Hatfield, Novak, Rassweiler & Reed2013A multi-decade time series of kelp forest community structure at San Nicolas Island, California.Ecology (Data paper)pdflink
Yeakel, Guimarães, Novak, Fox-Dobbs & Koch2012Probabilistic patterns of interaction: The effects of link-strength variability on food-web structure.Journal of the Royal Society Interfacepdf SOMlink
Twardochleb, Novak & Moore2012
Using the functional response of a consumer to predict biotic resistance to invasive prey.Ecological Applications
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Tinker, Guimarães, Novak, Marquitti, Bodkin, Staedler, Bentall & Estes2012Structure and mechanism of diet specialization: testing models of individual variation in resource use with sea otters.Ecology Letterspdf SOMlink
Novak, Moore & Leidy2011Nestedness patterns and the dual nature of community reassembly in California streams: a multivariate permutation-based approach.Global Change Biologypdflink
Yeakel, Novak, Guimarães, Dominy, Koch, Ward, Moore & Semmens2011Merging resource availability with isotope mixing models: the role of neutral interaction assumptions.PLoS Onepdflink
Novak, Wootton, Doak, Emmerson, Estes & Tinker2011Predicting community responses to perturbations in the face of imperfect knowledge and network complexity.Ecology (Concepts & Synthesis)
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Yeakel, Stiefs, Novak & Gross2011Generalized modeling of ecological population dynamics.Theoretical Ecology
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Bolnick, Amarasekare, Araújo, Bürger, Levine, Novak, Schreiber, Urban & Vasseur 2011Why intraspecific trait variation matters in community ecology.TREEpdflink
DeAngelis, Wolkowicz, Lou, Jian, Novak, Svanbäck, Araújo, Jo & Cleary2011The effect of travel loss on evolutionarily stable distributions of populations in space.American Naturalistpdflink
Novak2010Estimating interaction strengths in nature: experimental support for an observational approach.Ecologypdflink
Novak & Wootton2010Using experimental indices to quantify the strength of species interactions.Oikospdf
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Novak & Wootton2008Estimating nonlinear interaction strengths: an observational method for species-rich food webs.Ecology (Report)pdflink
Doak, Estes, Halpern, Jacob, Lindberg, Lovvorn, Monson, Tinker, Williams, Wootton, Carroll, Emmerson, Micheli & Novak2008Understanding and predicting ecological dynamics: are major surprises inevitable?Ecology (Concepts & Synthesis)pdflink
Novak2004Diurnal activity in a group of Gulf of Maine decapods.Crustaceanapdflink

 

Dissertations, Honors projects & Reports

AuthorYearTitleSchoolTypepdf
Ingeman, Kurt2016Effects of predator introductions on population and community dynamicsOSUPhD
Novak, Mark2008UChicagoPhDpdf

Moulvi, Hamza2014Complex networks in kelp forest ecosystems: Visualizing big dataOSUURSA Engagepdf
Shepard, Isaac2016Using stable isotopes to quantify species interaction strengthsOSUHonors thesispdf
Bingham, Julia2016Sensitive barnacles: A case study for collaborative sustainable fishery developmentOSUHonors thesispdf

Two elements of food webs add significantly to their complexity: The presence of trophic omnivores and the nonlinear nature of predator-prey interactions. I introduce a new observational method for estimating the strengths of species interactions that accounts for the indeterminacy of omnivorous indirect effects and the saturating functional responses that predators exhibit. I present an empirical support for the method’s accuracy by applying it to two populations of the predatory whelk, Haustrum (= Lepsiella) scobina, that is common to the rocky intertidal shores of New Zealand, and comparing these interaction strength estimates with those derived from experimental manipulations of H. scobina’s populations.
I then test two key predictions of intraguild predation theory by investigating how species abundances, food web structure and species interactions strengths change across six omnivorous food webs along a gradient of productivity present around New Zealand’s coastline. I find that the intermediate predator, H. scobina, is the superior competitor for shared prey, as predicted by theory. Counter to theory, however, I show that it is the omnivorous whelk, H. haustorium, that is the superior competitor when all prey are considered, and that H. scobina’s abundance increases with increasing productivity. My analyses reveal clear and regular cross-gradient shifts in interactions that can be incorporated into future modeling efforts.
Finally, I ask to what degree whelk feeding rates are saturated with respect to prey densities and, by extending and parameterizing the classic Rosenzweig-MacArthur model, ask whether empirical interactions are nonlinear enough to affect the stability of whelk-prey dynamics. Results indicate that feeding rates are not strongly saturated and that increasing diet richness has a non-additive effect on a predator’s saturation such that alternative prey have a stabilizing effect on whelk-prey dynamics. I thereby offer a new mechanism by which generalist predators stabilize the dynamics of their species-rich food webs.
My dissertation brings empirical data to bear on the importance of omnivory and the nonlinear nature of trophic interactions. Furthering our understanding of these food web features can contribute much to both the conceptual and applied goals of ecology.